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Neighbourhood · Three Rivers

Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross: house prices and how the area is changing

Official figures for the Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross neighbourhood of Three Rivers, England (ONS area Three Rivers 009). Headline figures assembled 4 November 2026. Postcodes HP8, SL9, UB9, WD3. Figures that read a point use the neighbourhood's centre, near WD3 9XQ.

A middle-income neighbourhood, changing little against Three Rivers

Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross is a middle-income neighbourhood; it is changing little against Three Rivers (few signs of gentrification: 1 of 18 signals rising, 2 falling). Houses here typically resell for £492,500 and flats for £280,000 (median resale prices, 2023-2025). Recorded crime is higher than across Three Rivers (2.0 times the borough's rate), schools nearby are improving in line with the council's and the nearest railway station, Rickmansworth, is 2.7 km from the neighbourhood's centre.

The neighbourhood in brief, from the figures on this page. Summary updated 4 November 2026; source dates are shown below.

Typical house price

£492,500

Median resale price of houses in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; +12% against 2017-2019.

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data

Typical flat price

£280,000

Median resale price of flats in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; +4% against 2017-2019.

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data

Affluence today

Middle income

How well off the neighbourhood is now, from household income, home prices and deprivation.

Source: ONS, HM Land Registry, MHCLG Indices of Deprivation

Signs of gentrification

Few signs

Weighted balance +0.02; 1 of 18 signals up, 2 down, against the borough.

Source: Official statistics on prices, incomes, benefits, businesses, schools and more (a full report shows every signal)

Deprivation

Decile 3 of 10

English Indices of Deprivation 2025: 1 is the most deprived tenth of neighbourhoods, 10 the least. At the neighbourhood's centre; its 4 small areas range from decile 3 to 7.

Source: MHCLG English Indices of Deprivation 2025

Average household income

£67,200

ONS estimate for the neighbourhood (modelled, with a margin of error).

Source: Office for National Statistics

Recorded crime

2.0 times the borough's rate

Crimes recorded by the police over 12 months (not anti-social behaviour) per resident, against the borough. Crime per resident can overstate the risk in busy centres where many people work or visit.

Source: Police.uk

Schools getting better

In line with the council's

Nearby state schools' latest Ofsted inspections and results, against the council's schools.

Source: Ofsted, Department for Education

Where Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross sits in Three Rivers

  • Typical house price: 3rd lowest of 12 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers
  • Typical flat price: 4th lowest of the 11 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers with enough flat sales for one
  • Average household income: 4th lowest of 12 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers

Ranked among the council's neighbourhoods by the figures on each one's own page, checked 4 November 2026: typical prices are HM Land Registry resale medians over the latest three-year window, household income the ONS's modelled estimate, with a margin of error, so neighbourhoods a place or two apart may not really differ.

Prices over time in Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross

House prices: Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross against Three Rivers: This neighbourhood £77k (1995) to £484k (2026); Three Rivers £95k (1995) to £600k (2026).£147k£555k2026202120162011200620011995This neighbourhood£484kThree Rivers£600k
Median resale price of houses each year here and across Three Rivers, 1995 to 2026 (HM Land Registry Price Paid Data: standard sales, new builds left out). Years with fewer than 10 sales here are left out. 2026 is the year so far (dashed).
Flat prices: Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross against Three Rivers: This neighbourhood £62k (1997) to £288k (2023); Three Rivers £60k (1997) to £295k (2026).£92k£278k2026202120162011200620011997This neighbourhood£288kThree Rivers£295k
Median resale price of flats each year here and across Three Rivers, 1997 to 2026 (HM Land Registry Price Paid Data: standard sales, new builds left out). Years with fewer than 10 sales here are left out. 2026 is the year so far (dashed).

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data, held locally and checked 4 November 2026. Medians each year, not a valuation of any home.

How the area is changing, signal by signal

1 of 18 counted signals point towards rising affluence against Three Rivers, 2 the other way and 15 in line. A reading of official statistics against the borough, not a prediction; a full report shows every signal's figures and weight. Where this reading sits among every neighbourhood in England and Wales: the gentrification league table.

Rising against the borough

  • Benefit claims (DWP)

Falling behind the borough

  • Recorded crime
  • Anti-social behaviour

Stations and schools nearby

Nearest station

  • Rickmansworth Railway station, 2.7 km from the neighbourhood's centre in a straight line. About 3.3 trains an hour leave between 07:00 and 19:00 on a weekday: Chiltern Railways to London Marylebone (about 29 min) and Aylesbury Vale Parkway (about 44 min).

Station locations: NaPTAN (Department for Transport). Trains: Network Rail's timetable for Tuesday 6 October 2026, with the timetabled minutes of direct trains; timetabled, not live running. Distances from the neighbourhood's centre in a straight line, walked at 4.8 km/h; the real route is longer.

Nearest state schools

  • Nearest state primary school Maple Cross Junior Mixed Infant and Nursery School 1.1 km from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Good (Jul 2022).
  • Nearest state secondary school The Reach Free School 630 m from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Ungraded visit: Standards maintained (Oct 2024).

Schools: Department for Education, Get Information about Schools (20 October 2026); inspections: Ofsted's management information as at 30 September 2026, in Ofsted's own words. Straight-line distances; not a catchment or admissions assessment.

Nearest A&E

  • Nearest major A&E Watford General Hospital 7.5 km from the neighbourhood's centre, in a straight line.

Hospitals: NHS England, NHS Wales and Public Health Scotland site lists. Waiting times: NHS England's Emergency Care Data Set (experimental statistics), StatsWales and Public Health Scotland, Open Government Licence v3.0. The NHS standard is 95% within 4 hours. Ambulances go to the most suitable A&E, which is not always the nearest.

Questions about Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross

What is the typical house price in Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross?

£492,500. Median resale price of houses in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; +12% against 2017-2019.

How does Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross compare with the rest of Three Rivers?

Typical house price: 3rd lowest of 12 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers. Typical flat price: 4th lowest of the 11 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers with enough flat sales for one. Average household income: 4th lowest of 12 neighbourhoods in Three Rivers.

Is Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross an affluent area?

Middle income. How well off the neighbourhood is now, from household income, home prices and deprivation.

Is Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross gentrifying?

Few signs. Weighted balance +0.02; 1 of 18 signals up, 2 down, against the borough.

What is the nearest station to Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross?

Rickmansworth. Railway station, 2.7 km from the neighbourhood's centre in a straight line. About 3.3 trains an hour leave between 07:00 and 19:00 on a weekday: Chiltern Railways to London Marylebone (about 29 min) and Aylesbury Vale Parkway (about 44 min).

Which state schools are nearest to Mill End, Heronsgate & Maple Cross?

Nearest state primary school. Maple Cross Junior Mixed Infant and Nursery School. 1.1 km from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Good (Jul 2022). Nearest state secondary school. The Reach Free School. 630 m from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Ungraded visit: Standards maintained (Oct 2024).

Each answer repeats a figure shown above, with its source there.

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Nearby neighbourhoods in Three Rivers

Postcode districts

Neighbourhood names: House of Commons Library, MSOA Names, Open Parliament Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains public sector information (MHCLG, Police.uk, Ofsted, Department for Education) licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Station locations from NaPTAN (Department for Transport), Open Government Licence v3.0. Trains: contains information of Network Rail Infrastructure Limited licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Figures describe the area, not any home, and are not a valuation or a prediction.