Neighbourhood · Lancaster

Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton: house prices and how the area is changing

Official figures for the Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton neighbourhood of Lancaster, England (ONS area Lancaster 001). Headline figures assembled 3 October 2026. Additional local information checked 13 October 2026. Postcodes LA5, LA6, LA7. Figures that read a point use the neighbourhood's centre, near LA5 9NE.

A middle-income neighbourhood, with signals pointing away from gentrification

Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton is a middle-income neighbourhood. But area signals point away from gentrification against Lancaster (3 of 18 signals falling, 2 rising). Houses here typically resell for £210,000 and flats for £168,000 (median resale prices, 2023-2025). Recorded crime is lower than across Lancaster (0.6 times the borough's rate) and the nearest station, Carnforth, is about a 21-minute walk from the neighbourhood's centre.

The neighbourhood in brief, from the figures on this page. Summary updated 13 October 2026; source dates are shown below.

Typical house price

£210,000

Median resale price of houses in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; +18% against 2017-2019.

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data

Typical flat price

£168,000

Median resale price of flats in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; -8% against 2017-2019.

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data

Affluence today

Middle income

How well off the neighbourhood is now, from household income, home prices and deprivation.

Source: ONS, HM Land Registry, MHCLG Indices of Deprivation

Signs of gentrification

Moving the other way

Weighted balance -0.19; 2 of 18 signals up, 3 down, against the borough.

Source: Official statistics on prices, incomes, benefits, businesses, schools and more (a full report shows every signal)

Deprivation

Decile 8 of 10

English Indices of Deprivation 2025: 1 is the most deprived tenth of neighbourhoods, 10 the least. At the neighbourhood's centre; its 7 small areas range from decile 3 to 8.

Source: MHCLG English Indices of Deprivation 2025

Average household income

£45,400

ONS estimate for the neighbourhood (modelled, with a margin of error).

Source: Office for National Statistics

Recorded crime

0.6 times the borough's rate

Crimes recorded by the police over 12 months (not anti-social behaviour) per resident, against the borough. Crime per resident can overstate the risk in busy centres where many people work or visit.

Source: Police.uk

Where Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton sits in Lancaster

Typical house price: 9th highest of 18 neighbourhoods in Lancaster
Typical flat price: the highest of the 9 neighbourhoods in Lancaster with enough flat sales for one
Average household income: 9th lowest of 18 neighbourhoods in Lancaster

Ranked among the council's neighbourhoods by the figures on each one's own page, checked 13 October 2026: typical prices are HM Land Registry resale medians over the latest three-year window, household income the ONS's modelled estimate, with a margin of error, so neighbourhoods a place or two apart may not really differ.

Prices over time in Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton

Median resale price of houses each year here and across Lancaster, 1995 to 2026 (HM Land Registry Price Paid Data: standard sales, new builds left out). Years with fewer than 10 sales here are left out. 2026 is the year so far (dashed).

Median resale price of flats each year here and across Lancaster, 2018 to 2026 (HM Land Registry Price Paid Data: standard sales, new builds left out). Years with fewer than 10 sales here are left out. 2026 is the year so far (dashed).

Source: HM Land Registry Price Paid Data, held locally and checked 13 October 2026. Medians each year, not a valuation of any home.

How the area is changing, signal by signal

2 of 18 counted signals point towards rising affluence against Lancaster, 3 the other way and 13 in line. A reading of official statistics against the borough, not a prediction; a full report shows every signal's figures and weight. Where this reading sits among every neighbourhood in England and Wales: the gentrification league table.

Rising against the borough

Air quality
New-build activity

Falling behind the borough

Resale prices
Anti-social behaviour
Benefit claims (DWP)

Stations and schools nearby

Nearest station

Carnforth Railway station, about a 21-minute walk from the neighbourhood's centre (1.6 km in a straight line). About 3.3 trains an hour leave between 07:00 and 19:00 on a weekday: Northern to Barrow-in-Furness (about 52 min) and Lancaster (about 9 min).

Station locations: NaPTAN (Department for Transport). Trains: Network Rail's timetable for Tuesday 6 October 2026, with the timetabled minutes of direct trains; timetabled, not live running. Distances from the neighbourhood's centre in a straight line, walked at 4.8 km/h; the real route is longer.

Nearest state schools

Nearest state primary school Warton Archbishop Hutton's VC Primary School 760 m from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Ungraded visit: School remains Good (Jul 2024).
Nearest state secondary school Carnforth High School 2.3 km from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Report card: Expected standard in 4 areas, Needs attention in 2 (Apr 2026).

Schools: Department for Education, Get Information about Schools (11 October 2026); inspections: Ofsted's management information as at 31 August 2026, in Ofsted's own words. Straight-line distances; not a catchment or admissions assessment.

Questions about Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton

What is the typical house price in Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton?

£210,000. Median resale price of houses in the neighbourhood, 2023-2025; +18% against 2017-2019.

How does Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton compare with the rest of Lancaster?

Typical house price: 9th highest of 18 neighbourhoods in Lancaster. Typical flat price: the highest of the 9 neighbourhoods in Lancaster with enough flat sales for one. Average household income: 9th lowest of 18 neighbourhoods in Lancaster.

Is Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton an affluent area?

Middle income. How well off the neighbourhood is now, from household income, home prices and deprivation.

Is Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton gentrifying?

Moving the other way. Weighted balance -0.19; 2 of 18 signals up, 3 down, against the borough.

What is the nearest station to Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton?

Carnforth. Railway station, about a 21-minute walk from the neighbourhood's centre (1.6 km in a straight line). About 3.3 trains an hour leave between 07:00 and 19:00 on a weekday: Northern to Barrow-in-Furness (about 52 min) and Lancaster (about 9 min).

Which state schools are nearest to Carnforth, Silverdale & Warton?

Nearest state primary school. Warton Archbishop Hutton's VC Primary School. 760 m from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Ungraded visit: School remains Good (Jul 2024). Nearest state secondary school. Carnforth High School. 2.3 km from the neighbourhood's centre. Ofsted: Report card: Expected standard in 4 areas, Needs attention in 2 (Apr 2026).

Each answer repeats a figure shown above, with its source there.

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Neighbourhood names: House of Commons Library, MSOA Names, Open Parliament Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains National Statistics data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains public sector information (MHCLG, Police.uk, Ofsted, Department for Education) licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Station locations from NaPTAN (Department for Transport), Open Government Licence v3.0. Trains: contains information of Network Rail Infrastructure Limited licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Figures describe the area, not any home, and are not a valuation or a prediction.